Kiwi Economics
Kiwibank economists Jarrod Kerr, Mary Jo Vergara, and Sabrina Delgado contribute regular articles to provide topical and unique insights into the New Zealand economy. If you’re interested in receiving our economic updates delivered straight to your inbox, simply click here to sign up. Or follow us on Twitter: @kiwieconomics
It was a no brainer. The cash rate will remain on hold until next year. We still think the next move is down.
Sabrina Delgado, Economist & Mary Jo Vergara, Senior Economist & Jarrod Kerr, Chief Economist Published on 12 July
From “Hey Big Spender”, to “Bye Bye Big Spender”. The willingness to splurge is waning.
Mary Jo Vergara, Senior Economist Published on 11 July
Kiwibank Household Spending Tracker: June 2023 quarter
We’ve updated our double dip recession forecasts. Mounting migration means more demand, and higher house prices.
Sabrina Delgado, Economist & Mary Jo Vergara, Senior Economist & Jarrod Kerr, Chief Economist Published on 5 July
The mood in the boardroom has improved. But a period of weak growth is on the horizon.
Sabrina Delgado, Economist & Mary Jo Vergara, Senior Economist Published on 4 July
Our take on the NZIER's June 2023 quarter QSBO
Yes, we’re in a technical recession. And it will get worse before it gets better. The RBNZ did too much.
Jarrod Kerr, Chief Economist & Mary Jo Vergara, Senior Economist Published on 15 June
Our take on the March 2023 quarter GDP report
Are we the waiting: the RBNZ’s prolonged pause will turn to rate cuts, eventually. Interest rates should fall.
Jarrod Kerr, Chief Economist Published on 15 June
Financial Markets update June 2023
Aotearoa is an attractive destination, and always will be. Inbound migration has surged. So where to next?
Mary Jo Vergara, Senior Economist Published on 13 June
It looks like we have seen the peak in interest rates. The RBNZ has finally relented.
Jarrod Kerr, Chief Economist & Mary Jo Vergara, Senior Economist Published on 24 May
Our take on the RBNZ's May Monetary Policy Statement
A soft starting point, an optimistic outlook, and a delayed return to surplus.
Mary Jo Vergara, Senior Economist Published on 18 May
Kiwi house prices continue to decline, but may be finding a bottom.
Jarrod Kerr, Chief Economist Published on 11 May
Our take on the REINZ April 2023 Housing Market Update
Read more of the article "Kiwi house prices continue to decline, but may be finding a bottom."
Strong job gains and chunky pay rises. Not bad for old data that lags. We expect a cooling from here.
Jarrod Kerr, Chief Economist & Mary Jo Vergara, Senior Economist Published on 3 May
Our take on the March 2023 quarter Labour Market report