Kiwi Economics
Kiwibank economists Jarrod Kerr, Jeremy Couchman and Mary Jo Vergara contribute regular articles to provide topical and unique insights into the New Zealand economy. If you’re interested in receiving our economic updates delivered straight to your inbox, simply click here to sign up. Or follow us on Twitter: @kiwieconomics
We’ve updated our forecasts. The RBNZ will induce a recession, and a steeper decline in house prices.
Jarrod Kerr, Chief Economist & Jeremy Couchman, Senior Economist Published on 6 December
It’s not just tourist numbers that are recovering fast, so too is net migration.
Jeremy Couchman, Senior Economist Published on 30 November
Our net migration outlook for Aotearoa November 2022
Hike till it hurts, and then hike some more. And continue to hike even with a recession looming.
Jarrod Kerr, Chief Economist & Jeremy Couchman, Senior Economist Published on 23 November
Our Take on the RBNZ's November 2022 Monetary Policy Statement
Like a red rag to a bull, inflation will cause the RBNZ to hike by 75bps in Nov, and to 5% next year.
Jarrod Kerr, Chief Economist & Jeremy Couchman, Senior Economist Published on 18 October
Our take on the September 2022 quarter CPI report
The housing market remained on ice in September.
Jeremy Couchman, Senior Economist Published on 12 October
Our take on REINZ housing market data for September 2022.
Read more of the article "The housing market remained on ice in September."
Consumer spending is holding up, for now.
Kiwibank Household Spending Tracker: September 2022 quarter
Read more of the article "Consumer spending is holding up, for now."
The RBNZ lifts the cash rate by another 0.5%. The (huge) impact on households will be felt over spring-summer.
Jarrod Kerr, Chief Economist Published on 5 October
Our take on the RBNZ October Monetary Policy Review
One small step for businesses, one giant staircase ahead. Confidence is improving, slowly.
Jarrod Kerr, Chief Economist & Jeremy Couchman, Senior Economist Published on 4 October
Our take on NZIER September 2022 quarter Quarterly Survey of Business Opinion
The RBNZ is set to hike the cash rate again, as inflation remains public enemy number one.
Jarrod Kerr, Chief Economist & Jeremy Couchman, Senior Economist Published on 28 September
Preview of RBNZ October Monetary Policy Review
Aotearoa avoided a technical recession, but the outlook is awkward.
Jeremy Couchman, Senior Economist & Jarrod Kerr, Chief Economist Published on 15 September
Our take on the June 2022 quarter GDP report
Read more of the article "Aotearoa avoided a technical recession, but the outlook is awkward."
Here’s some good news amongst the bad. Global shipping costs are falling.
Jarrod Kerr, Chief Economist Published on 14 September
The current state of global shipping costs
Read more of the article "Here’s some good news amongst the bad. Global shipping costs are falling."