Kiwi Economics

Kiwibank economists Jarrod Kerr, Jeremy Couchman and Mary Jo Vergara contribute regular articles to provide topical and unique insights into the New Zealand economy.  If you’re interested in receiving our economic updates delivered straight to your inbox, simply click here to sign up. Or follow us on Twitter: @kiwieconomics

Peak inflation means peak interest rates. We expect the RBNZ to deliver 50, not 75. They should deliver 25…

The descent from Mount Inflation continues, slowly.

A disappointing end to a tough year in the housing market.


Our take on the latest housing market data from December 2022.

Read more of the article "A disappointing end to a tough year in the housing market."

The chance of a recession increases as business confidence hits an all-time low.


Our take on NZIER's December 2022 quarter Quarterly Survey of Business Opinion

Read more of the article "The chance of a recession increases as business confidence hits an all-time low."

The Kiwi economy surged with a rebound in services and an uplift in construction. The outlook is grey.

The Government’s finances may be healthier for now, but a recession is coming in an election year.