Kiwi Economics
Kiwibank economists Jarrod Kerr, Mary Jo Vergara, and Sabrina Delgado contribute regular articles to provide topical and unique insights into the New Zealand economy. If you’re interested in receiving our economic updates delivered straight to your inbox, simply click here to sign up. Or follow us on Twitter: @kiwieconomics
A disappointing end to a tough year in the housing market.
Jeremy Couchman, Senior Economist Published on 18 January
Our take on the latest housing market data from December 2022.
Read more of the article "A disappointing end to a tough year in the housing market."
The chance of a recession increases as business confidence hits an all-time low.
Jeremy Couchman, Senior Economist & Jarrod Kerr, Chief Economist Published on 17 January
Our take on NZIER's December 2022 quarter Quarterly Survey of Business Opinion
Inflation appears to have peaked, and risk appetite has improved. The Kiwi is in an updraft, for now.
Kiwibank Financial Markets and Economics: FX Tactical December 2022
The Kiwi economy surged with a rebound in services and an uplift in construction. The outlook is grey.
Jarrod Kerr, Chief Economist & Jeremy Couchman, Senior Economist Published on 15 December
Our take on the September 2022 quarter GDP report
The Government’s finances may be healthier for now, but a recession is coming in an election year.
Jarrod Kerr, Chief Economist & Jeremy Couchman, Senior Economist Published on 14 December
Our take on the Half Year Economic and Fiscal Update 2022
The housing market continues to power down as mortgage rates charge higher.
Jeremy Couchman, Senior Economist Published on 13 December
Our take on the REINZ housing report for November 2022.
We’ve updated our forecasts. The RBNZ will induce a recession, and a steeper decline in house prices.
Jarrod Kerr, Chief Economist & Jeremy Couchman, Senior Economist Published on 6 December
It’s not just tourist numbers that are recovering fast, so too is net migration.
Jeremy Couchman, Senior Economist Published on 30 November
Our net migration outlook for Aotearoa November 2022
Hike till it hurts, and then hike some more. And continue to hike even with a recession looming.
Jarrod Kerr, Chief Economist & Jeremy Couchman, Senior Economist Published on 23 November
Our Take on the RBNZ's November 2022 Monetary Policy Statement
Like a red rag to a bull, inflation will cause the RBNZ to hike by 75bps in Nov, and to 5% next year.
Jarrod Kerr, Chief Economist & Jeremy Couchman, Senior Economist Published on 18 October
Our take on the September 2022 quarter CPI report
The housing market remained on ice in September.
Jeremy Couchman, Senior Economist Published on 12 October
Our take on REINZ housing market data for September 2022.
Read more of the article "The housing market remained on ice in September."