Kiwi Economics
Kiwibank economists Jarrod Kerr, Mary Jo Vergara, and Sabrina Delgado contribute regular articles to provide topical and unique insights into the New Zealand economy. If you’re interested in receiving our economic updates delivered straight to your inbox, simply click here to sign up. Or follow us on Twitter: @kiwieconomics
It was a cold winter, and regional activity was frost bitten in parts. Recession is a real risk.
Sabrina Delgado, Economist & Mary Jo Vergara, Senior Economist & Jarrod Kerr, Chief Economist Published on 7 September
The RBNZ took two steps forward, and one giant leap back. Where are interest rates going?
Sabrina Delgado, Economist & Mary Jo Vergara, Senior Economist & Jarrod Kerr, Chief Economist Published on 16 August
Our take on the RBNZ's August 2023 Monetary Policy Statement
Where did you come from, when will you go? Where did you come from current account deficit?
Sabrina Delgado, Economist Published on 8 August
Our take on the Current Account
The Kiwi labour force is strong. It’s all about migration and tourism. And it’s good news for Kiwi businesses.
Sabrina Delgado, Economist & Mary Jo Vergara, Senior Economist & Jarrod Kerr, Chief Economist Published on 2 August
Our take on the June 2023 quarter Labour Market report
Inflation is easing… What does it mean?
Sabrina Delgado, Economist & Mary Jo Vergara, Senior Economist & Jarrod Kerr, Chief Economist Published on 19 July
Our take on the June 2023 quarter Consumer Price Index
Read more of the article "Inflation is easing… What does it mean?"
House prices rose in June. We forecast house price gains over next year, and beyond.
Jarrod Kerr, Chief Economist Published on 13 July
Our take on REINZ June 2023 update
It was a no brainer. The cash rate will remain on hold until next year. We still think the next move is down.
Sabrina Delgado, Economist & Mary Jo Vergara, Senior Economist & Jarrod Kerr, Chief Economist Published on 12 July
From “Hey Big Spender”, to “Bye Bye Big Spender”. The willingness to splurge is waning.
Mary Jo Vergara, Senior Economist Published on 11 July
Kiwibank Household Spending Tracker: June 2023 quarter
We’ve updated our double dip recession forecasts. Mounting migration means more demand, and higher house prices.
Sabrina Delgado, Economist & Mary Jo Vergara, Senior Economist & Jarrod Kerr, Chief Economist Published on 5 July
The mood in the boardroom has improved. But a period of weak growth is on the horizon.
Mary Jo Vergara, Senior Economist & Sabrina Delgado, Economist Published on 4 July
Our take on the NZIER's June 2023 quarter QSBO
Yes, we’re in a technical recession. And it will get worse before it gets better. The RBNZ did too much.
Mary Jo Vergara, Senior Economist & Jarrod Kerr, Chief Economist Published on 15 June
Our take on the March 2023 quarter GDP report