Kiwi Economics
Kiwibank economists Jarrod Kerr, Mary Jo Vergara, and Sabrina Delgado contribute regular articles to provide topical and unique insights into the New Zealand economy. If you’re interested in receiving our economic updates delivered straight to your inbox, simply click here to sign up. Or follow us on Twitter: @kiwieconomics
We’ve mapped out three possible futures for the Kiwi dollar. Welcome to the multiverse.
Kiwibank Financial Markets and Economics: FX Tactical March 2023
The jets are cooling. The Kiwi economy contracted in the fourth quarter, with ongoing turbulence.
Mary Jo Vergara, Senior Economist & Jarrod Kerr, Chief Economist Published on 16 March
Our take on the December 2022 quarter GDP report
The RBNZ hike with no cause for a pause. And the risk of overtightening grows.
Mary Jo Vergara, Senior Economist & Jarrod Kerr, Chief Economist Published on 22 February
Our take on the RBNZ's February 2023 Monetary Policy Statement
There was a short burst of housing sales in January. But the floods will cause delays. Prices to fall further.
Jarrod Kerr, Chief Economist Published on 14 February
Our take on the REINZ housing market data for January 2023.
The labour market remains tight, for now.
Jarrod Kerr, Chief Economist & Jeremy Couchman, Senior Economist Published on 1 February
Our take on December 2022 quarter Labour Market
Read more of the article "The labour market remains tight, for now."
Peak inflation means peak interest rates. We expect the RBNZ to deliver 50, not 75. They should deliver 25…
Jarrod Kerr, Chief Economist & Jeremy Couchman, Senior Economist Published on 25 January
Our take on December 2022 quarter CPI inflation data.
The descent from Mount Inflation continues, slowly.
Jeremy Couchman, Senior Economist & Jarrod Kerr, Chief Economist Published on 20 January
December 2022 quarter CPI preview
Read more of the article "The descent from Mount Inflation continues, slowly."
A disappointing end to a tough year in the housing market.
Jeremy Couchman, Senior Economist Published on 18 January
Our take on the latest housing market data from December 2022.
Read more of the article "A disappointing end to a tough year in the housing market."
The chance of a recession increases as business confidence hits an all-time low.
Jarrod Kerr, Chief Economist & Jeremy Couchman, Senior Economist Published on 17 January
Our take on NZIER's December 2022 quarter Quarterly Survey of Business Opinion
Inflation appears to have peaked, and risk appetite has improved. The Kiwi is in an updraft, for now.
Kiwibank Financial Markets and Economics: FX Tactical December 2022
The Kiwi economy surged with a rebound in services and an uplift in construction. The outlook is grey.
Jeremy Couchman, Senior Economist & Jarrod Kerr, Chief Economist Published on 15 December
Our take on the September 2022 quarter GDP report
The Government’s finances may be healthier for now, but a recession is coming in an election year.
Jeremy Couchman, Senior Economist & Jarrod Kerr, Chief Economist Published on 14 December
Our take on the Half Year Economic and Fiscal Update 2022